At the time you wrote that (Apr 6), the Press was crucifying Anders Tegnell. Now they've shifted the goalposts to say that the Swedes were doing voluntary lockdowns and social distancing. Or they're interviewing the Swedish Karen and maintaining the same narrative, despite the Lancet article showing COVID 19 deaths per million were largely unaffected by lockdowns. These are the countries with the worst deaths/million and the countries in red had lockdowns:
To the extent that lockdowns accomplished something for Sweden's Nordic neighbors, the deaths have just been pushed to the future.
In other news, there has been much pearl-clutching on this forum about the true deadliness of COVID-19. The CDC is now providing
serological tracking, which gives an estimate of the true denominator in the IFR for a given location. Here's a screencap for the metro NY area of round 2:
In other words, take the number of reported cases and multiply by 10 to get the estimated number of infections. The IFR for this location is the number of deaths in that location divided by the estimated number of infections. The CDC does this with every other illness it tracks, like influenza.
California is, as with everything else, way behind on its serological tracking. It has data only for round 1 dating back to the end of April (this might be why our LatinX public health lady just resigned). Serological studies performed in May by two California universities estimated 5% had antibodies.