You might be in the bed next to me. Hospitalization != CFR or IFR. Bone-up on your definitions.He's full of sh!t and should probably be hospitalized with a case of severe confirmation bias. Oh wait, the hospitals are filling up. Maybe just take away his wifi.
To the article....
How deadly is the coronavirus delta variant?
Although this variant is more transmissible, whether it causes more severe disease and death is still unclear.www.livescience.com
Here she's comparing Delta to Alpha, not Delta to Wild-type like I am.Several studies hint that, compared with the original strain of the virus, the delta variant can make people sicker if they are unvaccinated. One study from Scotland, published June 14 in the journal The Lancet, found that people infected with the coronavirus delta variant had a nearly twofold higher risk of being hospitalized between April and June 2021, compared with those infected with the coronavirus alpha variant, or the variant first detected in the U.K. But those who were vaccinated had a 60% reduced risk of being hospitalized with the delta variant than unvaccinated people who caught delta.
Read the comments below the pre-print.Another study from Canada, posted to the preprint website medRxiv on July 14, found that people infected with the delta variant were twice as likely to be hospitalized, and twice as likely to die, as those infected with a coronavirus strain that wasn't a "variant of concern" (i.e., not infected with alpha, beta, gamma or delta variants).
It's difficult, but you can do some back-of-the-envelop calculations and compare CFRs.Since the delta variant took off in the U.S. after the availability of vaccines, it's difficult to compare deaths from delta with historical deaths from earlier variants — the fatality rate for all variants is expected to drop as a result of vaccinations, according to The Poynter Institute.
The UK's data on VoCs from June:
Using Table 4, I divided the cases of Delta in unvaccinated patients by the deaths (11/5172) and get a CFR of .2%. The historical CFR of wild-type SARS-CoV-2 was 2.8%, assuming it was due to lack of vaccines.
(1/.2/2.8) = 14x less deadly, or 28 times less deadly using the CFR in the table above.
Judging by both your article and my math, this post is spreading misinformation: