The Atlantic is a joke

PRCD

Tom Curren status
Feb 25, 2020
12,732
8,726
113
start flipping that quarter and let me know how it goes:)
You can calculate the odds as follows. Heads has odds of .5. The odds of 100,000 heads is the geometric sum of .5 counted 100,000 times, or .5 to the 100,000 power. My calculator actually won't let me punch in .5^100,000, but .5^10,000 gives 97555933743 x 10-3011 which is basically a machine rounding error to zero.
 

Billy Ocean

Duke status
Jan 7, 2017
19,330
2,636
113
You can calculate the odds as follows. Heads has odds of .5. The odds of 100,000 heads is the geometric sum of .5 counted 100,000 times, or .5 to the 100,000 power. My calculator actually won't let me punch in .5^100,000, but .5^10,000 gives 97555933743 x 10-3011 which is basically a machine rounding error to zero.
what are the odds of two simultaneous 100,000+ solely Biden vote dumps in both Michigan and Wisconsin at 4am on Wednesday?
 

Random Guy

Duke status
Jan 16, 2002
32,134
6,311
113
multiple points have been raised over the last several days on this board

i get it— you’re a true believer of whatever you’re told to believe

“without evidence” :roflmao:
I stepped away for a few days.
I was “off the grid” from Friday evening until this morning with only minimal news, like Biden won, but nothing more detailed than that
So when I ask what evidence there is, I really don’t know
So, what evidence is there?
 

afoaf

Duke status
Jun 25, 2008
49,552
23,135
113
there is none. just pop the popcorn and enjoy the schadenfreude.
 

Subway

Administrator
Staff member
Dec 31, 2008
13,521
10,172
113
LBNY
I'd honestly rather live in Florida than Arizona, but I can see how if Huntington's not good enough, the Atlantic is a joke. I get it.
So should I bring a board or not? 5 weeks of late fall should produce a few swells right?!
 

Sharkbiscuit

Duke status
Aug 6, 2003
26,613
19,541
113
Jacksonville Beach
So should I bring a board or not? 5 weeks of late fall should produce a few swells right?!
I was lobbying for this and going for the troll by mad-dogging the shop in Wabasso from the jump. I'm assuming you'll surf when it's onshore though? Personally I think that helps the Vero area have some shape.

It's been nonstop windswell for weeks and that looks to continue. ESE when you show up, that starts to fade and is then crossed up with a ENE windswell.

If you're working from home, it gets light around quarter after six on a clear morning in Jax Beach. If it's not high tide early, it's an easy cruise up to/back from South Brevard zones. You'd need to get a State Parks pass and the combination for the lock at Fort Pierce Inlet to get in before 8am, but I'd possibly consider that. Or not. And South Beach/Wabasso are both very easy cruises if it's dead high tide.

In general this is a good to very good time of year relatively speaking.

The cold front forecast to come through early next week might knock Jacksonville down to top temperatures (72 if frigid, 70 if baking) but the water down there, unless we get a drastic pattern shift after Thanksgiving, you might not even need a top. Fort Pierce nearshore buoy is chilling at 80.

YMMV but while 2016 had a thorough supply of waist-chest and clean days, we are getting a thorough supply of chest-head++ days, albeit onshore, and I don't see it stopping through the end of the surflies forecast. By sheer number of days with rideable surf that aren't grovel, this has been the best fall ever. Minus the winds/muggy feel.