prior voting history is not an indication of future voting history
counties turn. states turn.
look at the demographic and economic shifts occurring around the country
and, yet again, you do not account for the visceral disgust Trump engenders in people
and his historically high disapproval rating in the midst of a pandemic that many blame
him for fumbling the response to
anecdotally, my two life-long GOP voting parents both went HARD for Biden.
the vote deficits are easily explainable when you look at how/when votes are counted.
absentee, vote by mail ballots are counted after election day in almost every and we have
seen consistently that these ballots were going to Biden by a margin of 3 to 1 or higher
you can find details on each state's process here:
A guide to in person and mail in voting, and voter registration deadlines, during the COVID-19 pandemic.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com