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***Official El Niño 2023/24 hype thread***
- Thread starter casa_mugrienta
- Start date
I was looking for a previous -Official El Nino- thread, and someone in it was talking about the risk of the Tulare Lake flooding due to possible record rains, and say something snarky like "....and to think it took the 2022/2023 La Nina event to do it."
Anecdotally speaking, seemed to get here earlier (May) for us.
San Diego county had Graypril this year. May Gray his bad. I'm glad I missed most of it. I was in Hawaii the first 2 weeks and Delaware these last two. Weather has kinda sucked here too.
What are long range July 4 forecasts for Oceanside? Time again for us to pester our friends there and take advantage of their pool and maybe get a fog free 4th.
It certainly can be warmer, but typically still pretty wet and stormy which translates to higher snow levels and lower quality snow. Nothing more depressing around here than storm surf for weeks and rain and super wet snow in the mtns IMO. 98 was really stormy and not to warm, but 2015 was pretty dry and mild which ended up being drought like conditions that summer. Could go either way or anyway these days though. Already planning a GTFO Jan or Feb Baja mish.
I was in Portland/Vancouver for fall of '97 and it rained quite a bit that October and early November, then delivered a 107' yacht down to San Diego and spent the rest of that El Niño winter in San Diego surfing my balls off. My girlfriend and I broke up, she started Blogger with two friends, and then later sold it to Google for a mint. I'd say it was a fair trade. 
In 2015 I was in Hood River, and yeah it was a dry year but I had a newborn so I was sleep deprived and everything was a blur.
This winter I'm going to Mtb a bunch and hopefully there is enough to ski the weekends, but if not then I'll be able to get more projects completed around the house, and maybe surf a bit more. Also buy a wingfoil setup since I have a good spot 3 minutes from my house.
In 2015 I was in Hood River, and yeah it was a dry year but I had a newborn so I was sleep deprived and everything was a blur.
This winter I'm going to Mtb a bunch and hopefully there is enough to ski the weekends, but if not then I'll be able to get more projects completed around the house, and maybe surf a bit more. Also buy a wingfoil setup since I have a good spot 3 minutes from my house.
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Mark from Stormsurf posts a weekly video on YouTube each Sunday evening. They are about one hour long. The first 15 minutes is an analysis of the Pacific (north and south) for surf-producing storms. The last 45 minutes is a thorough discussion of ENSO. He shows a bunch of current charts/data and analyzes the stuff in an easy-to-follow manner. I'm not affiliated with Stormsurf ... just a fan for over 20 years.
Temperature inversion is the cause. Technically, once the water warms up the gray goes away.
El Niño is supposed to bring warm(er) water.
that said, this is a new El Niño and so while perhaps warmer water by fall it doesn’t mean it’s warm enough to kill the gray in the spring.