So how big's it gonna get Wed/Thurs/Fri on west coast?

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Sep 17, 2012
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That 2008 swell was "too" big for lots of SB spots at some times. El Cap had a left going straight into the right. Sandbar was unsurfable and they closed it off after some people got washed through the fence and into the harbor rocks, but Campus Point was perfect and biggest surf I've ever seen below Gaviota. There was no weather with that swell like there's gonna be with this one. This AM was ugly.
 

Duffy LaCoronilla

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Apr 27, 2016
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Yes.

In fact, if I'm not mistaken, the wettest years of the past decade have all been La Niña years.

But hey, we've got all this weather and climate stuff figured out.
There’s no correlation between Niño niña and rainfall totals in California. If you look at historical records it’s pretty clear.
 
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SteveT

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Apr 11, 2005
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headed into work this AM - ocean was a farkn' mess.
Swell hasn't filled in, heavy duty south wind.(n)
 

r32

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headed into work this AM - ocean was a farkn' mess.
Swell hasn't filled in, heavy duty south wind.(n)
Because the swell isn't due until TOMORROW AFTERNOON. :roflmao:

North CA: For advanced planning purposes expect swell arrival on Thurs AM (1/5) building to 18.2 ft @ 17-18 secs (30 ft) and very raw peaking right at a 5.9 ft high tide. Swell holding through the day. Swell Direction: 270 degrees



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Sharkbiscuit

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There’s no correlation between Niño niña and rainfall totals in California. If you look at historical records it’s pretty clear.
El Nino does correlate with higher snowfall totals in Southern California/Arizona, although it appears most of the Sierra is not necessarily strongly affected by it. Statewide rainfall may well be another matter entirely but I expect SoCal's water reservoir situation generally stands to benefit from an El Nino.

The links for El Nino/La Nina are in the frame at left, under the zone listings.

 

r32

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There will be one spot on entire CC that will be clean and offshore.

Shorebreak will be 6'+ and the outside waves will be 20-25' monsters. Current will be wicked and the paddle out will be comparable to OBSF on a big clean day.

Anyone from Monterey area? PM me please. Have q.
 
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r32

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Maybe head to Long Beach for some manageable waves?
Even a 10kt south wind is enough to blow out 95% of the beaches.

***

TODAY S winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.

TONIGHT S winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming SW 20 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 23 ft. Rain with vsby 1 nm or less.

THU SW winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 14 to 29 ft. Scattered showers and scattered tstms.

THU NIGHT W winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW 5 to 10 kt. Seas 20 to 26 ft.

FRI S winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft.

FRI NIGHT S winds 5 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.

**

SAT S winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.

SAT NIGHT S winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.

SUN SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming S to SW 5 to 15 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.

SUN NIGHT S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft.