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10-year yield. #2996382
08/14/19 01:57 PM
08/14/19 01:57 PM
Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 14,774
Urbana, Illinois
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hal9000 Offline OP
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Posts: 14,774
Urbana, Illinois


"I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996384
08/14/19 02:03 PM
08/14/19 02:03 PM
Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 7,426
Jacksonville Beach
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Sharkbiscuit Offline
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Posts: 7,426
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If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.


"Do da chair know we goin' look like some punkass bitches?" - Poot Carr
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: Sharkbiscuit] #2996388
08/14/19 02:21 PM
08/14/19 02:21 PM
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 9,897
north of the bridge
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the janitor Offline
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Posts: 9,897
north of the bridge
Agree. Now that health care costs and college tuition rates have been contained I think inflation will start to recede. Also, consumer debt has been trending downwards steadily since that last little hiccup we had about 10 years ago. Since then regulators have gotten the derivatives markets under control and all those arrests after the financial crisis have really put the fear of baby Jesus into the algorithms running the trading floors.

Re: 10-year yield. [Re: Sharkbiscuit] #2996394
08/14/19 02:32 PM
08/14/19 02:32 PM
Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 14,774
Urbana, Illinois
H
hal9000 Offline OP
Tom Curren status
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Joined: Jan 2016
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Urbana, Illinois
Originally Posted by Sharkbiscuit
If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.



Seriously. Everything is totally fine, especially now that we have regulations in place to prevent another 2007 financial meltdown.


"I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: the janitor] #2996396
08/14/19 02:33 PM
08/14/19 02:33 PM
Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 14,774
Urbana, Illinois
H
hal9000 Offline OP
Tom Curren status
hal9000  Offline OP
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Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 14,774
Urbana, Illinois
Originally Posted by the janitor
Agree. Now that health care costs and college tuition rates have been contained I think inflation will start to recede. Also, consumer debt has been trending downwards steadily since that last little hiccup we had about 10 years ago. Since then regulators have gotten the derivatives markets under control and all those arrests after the financial crisis have really put the fear of baby Jesus into the algorithms running the trading floors.



We also conquered the student loan debt problem. This economy will probably grow forever.


"I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996399
08/14/19 02:38 PM
08/14/19 02:38 PM
Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 14,774
Urbana, Illinois
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hal9000 Offline OP
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Joined: Jan 2016
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Urbana, Illinois



Trumby must be sh*tting himself more than usual.

The rest of America won't even notice because we've been basically living in a recession since 2005.


"I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996409
08/14/19 03:03 PM
08/14/19 03:03 PM
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 14,692
in the bathroom
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manbearpig Offline
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in the bathroom
Thanks Obama Clinton.

Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996466
08/14/19 05:01 PM
08/14/19 05:01 PM
Joined: Feb 2002
Posts: 6,824
san diego, CA
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obslop Offline
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san diego, CA
treasury market is the real smart money. they know a shit storm is coming.

Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996507
08/14/19 05:58 PM
08/14/19 05:58 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 57,238
HB, CA
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ifallalot Offline
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Originally Posted by hal9000
Originally Posted by Sharkbiscuit
If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.



Seriously. Everything is totally fine, especially now that we have regulations in place to prevent another 2007 financial meltdown.

Regulations prevent the market from working as it should and create worse bubbles than the natural up and down cycles we're supposed to see in capitalism


My entire existence is a failed gotcha
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: ifallalot] #2996512
08/14/19 06:00 PM
08/14/19 06:00 PM
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 5,713
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mundus Offline
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Originally Posted by ifallalot
Originally Posted by hal9000
Originally Posted by Sharkbiscuit
If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.



Seriously. Everything is totally fine, especially now that we have regulations in place to prevent another 2007 financial meltdown.

Regulations prevent the market from working as it should and create worse bubbles than the natural up and down cycles we're supposed to see in capitalism

Historically false, take a look at the economy during robber baron era.

Re: 10-year yield. [Re: ifallalot] #2996524
08/14/19 06:11 PM
08/14/19 06:11 PM
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 24,335
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afoaf Offline
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Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 24,335
Originally Posted by ifallalot
Originally Posted by hal9000
Originally Posted by Sharkbiscuit
If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.



Seriously. Everything is totally fine, especially now that we have regulations in place to prevent another 2007 financial meltdown.

Regulations prevent the market from working as it should and create worse bubbles than the natural up and down cycles we're supposed to see in capitalism


you don't think guardrails are warranted?


It’s like the GZA coming on after U-God
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996529
08/14/19 06:15 PM
08/14/19 06:15 PM
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 29,959
Vagina Point
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Autoprax Offline
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Vagina Point
You want a net when you walk the high wire called life?

Nets are for pussies!


incompetence is preferable to malice.
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: hal9000] #2996531
08/14/19 06:15 PM
08/14/19 06:15 PM
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 23,749
Carlsbad
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GDaddy Offline
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Carlsbad
Having regulations that the state doesn't enforce in a timely and effective manner is in some ways worse than having no regulations because of the uneven playing field it creates.


#sowhat
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: mundus] #2996538
08/14/19 06:22 PM
08/14/19 06:22 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 57,238
HB, CA
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ifallalot Offline
Duke status
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Duke status
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 57,238
HB, CA
Originally Posted by mundus
Originally Posted by ifallalot
Originally Posted by hal9000
Originally Posted by Sharkbiscuit
If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.



Seriously. Everything is totally fine, especially now that we have regulations in place to prevent another 2007 financial meltdown.

Regulations prevent the market from working as it should and create worse bubbles than the natural up and down cycles we're supposed to see in capitalism

Historically false, take a look at the economy during robber baron era.

It was booming and allowed the US to become the world power it became. Next.


My entire existence is a failed gotcha
Re: 10-year yield. [Re: afoaf] #2996540
08/14/19 06:23 PM
08/14/19 06:23 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 57,238
HB, CA
I
ifallalot Offline
Duke status
ifallalot  Offline
Duke status
**
I

Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 57,238
HB, CA
Originally Posted by afoaf
Originally Posted by ifallalot
Originally Posted by hal9000
Originally Posted by Sharkbiscuit
If subprime commercial debt takes a shit you just might get your Blue Balls, I mean Blue Texas.

Nothing to worry about though. The financial system self-regulates, the hedge funds and investment banks would never over-leverage, and commercial real estate's fundamentals are strong. It's not like brick-and-mortar retail has been/will be getting its dick kicked in by Amazon or any of that.



Seriously. Everything is totally fine, especially now that we have regulations in place to prevent another 2007 financial meltdown.

Regulations prevent the market from working as it should and create worse bubbles than the natural up and down cycles we're supposed to see in capitalism


you don't think guardrails are warranted?

Some guardrails to prevent egregious thievery, yes. But the type of Fed control we see now? Its keeping us from a recession artificially and creating bigger bubbles


My entire existence is a failed gotcha
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